NKBA/John Burns Kitchen & Bath Market Index (KBMI) – Q2 2023
Report Price: $1995
This NKBA Research Report is included with NKBA Membership. Log in to access the report.
The NKBA/John Burns Kitchen & Bath Market Index (KBMI) is a quarterly gauge of current and future market conditions within the kitchen and bath industry. A total of 581 industry professionals participated in the study from the four primary industry segments – Design, Building & Construction, Manufacturing, and Retail. The report outlines key indicators utilized to identify trends, strengths, and weaknesses within the industry.
Key Takeaways
- Kitchen and bath professionals are exhibiting cautious optimism regarding sales in the second half of 2023. The expectations for next quarter’s sales are notably higher, with a rating of 65.5, compared to the year-on-year rating of 62 in Q2 2022. While some consumers are postponing large-scale projects until economic conditions stabilize, others are proceeding with remodeling endeavors by opting for smaller, more affordable projects.
- The rating for Q2 sales of K&B products and design services was 48.6 out of 100, mainly influenced by economic uncertainty, ongoing cost pressures, persistent inflation, and elevated mortgage rates. This current index is slightly lower than the 58.6 reported in the previous quarter and significantly lower than the 73 reported a year ago.
- During Q2 2023, kitchen and bath activity experienced a notable slowdown, particularly in the retail and manufacturing sectors. The industry witnessed flat sales revenue, decreased foot traffic, and a decline in manufacturers’ orders, all indicating a reduction in kitchen and bath activity. This deceleration can be attributed to the impact of higher prices and interest rates. For certain firms, the slower growth is seen as a welcome respite after the unexpected surge in demand during the “COVID period”. However, for other businesses, it requires adjusting their expectations as market conditions return to a more “normal” level.
- Although there has been a slight decrease in demand, the kitchen and bath industry still maintains a strong position. The industry’s health modestly declined to 65.2 in Q2 2023, a slight drop from the previous quarter’s 66.7.
- Economic uncertainty continues to loom over the industry. The Federal Reserve’s ongoing rate hikes and persistent inflation levels above historical norms have sparked fear of a potential recession among kitchen and bath professionals. As a result, some consumers are choosing to put their remodel plans on hold, adding to the industry’s concerns. The unpredictable economic landscape is causing cautiousness among professionals in the kitchen and bath sector.
- The design firms in the kitchen and bath industry are experiencing a reduced average backlog of 2.6 months for projects. The industry professionals attribute this to a slowdown in demand and the normalization of capacity, which has led to noticeably reduced lead times for design projects. Consequently, the backlogs for design work in the kitchen and bath sector have seen a significant decrease.
Additional Topics Covered
- Expectations and outlook of the kitchen and bath industry by segment
- Top challenges and concerns industry professionals are currently facing by segment
- The difference in the current project demands in 2023
- Overall average increases in material costs year-over-year and how industry professionals are addressing this